Strategy 2 is a pairs trading mean-reversion on Coke and Pepsi. At each book update, the model calculates a mid price for both symbols and forms a spread as a linear combination. A rolling history of the spread drives the mean and z-score signals across 3 states: flat, long-spread, or short-spread. When the z-score exceeds the entry threshold, it buys one leg and sells the other; positions flatten inside the exit threshold.
Additional features: A cooldown to avoid rapid re-entry; A shared capital account; Synthetic books and VWAP tracking per symbol; Immediate-or-cancel limit orders priced from synthetic mid and spread.
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| Model | Mean MAE↓ | Best Run MAE↓ | Executable Passes↓ |
|---|---|---|---|
| gemini-3-pro-preview | 52.22 | 52.22 | 5 |
| gpt-5.2 | 107.02 | 48.10 | 5 |
| deepseek-v3.2 | 132.77 | 125.87 | 3 |
| nova-premier-v1 | 133.10 | 133.10 | 0 |
| claude-opus-4.5 | 133.86 | 85.56 | 2 |
| gpt-5.1-codex-max | 136.97 | 89.43 | 5 |
| claude-sonnet-4.5 | 193.32 | 70.82 | 5 |
| mistral-large-2512 | 228.90 | 133.10 | 5 |
| grok-4 | 309.37 | 119.25 | 4 |
| llama-4-maverick | 605.26 | 131.92 | 2 |
| command-a | 1,093.36 | 133.10 | 2 |
| llama-3.1-nemotron-ultra | 2,268.11 | 133.10 | 2 |
| qwen3-max | 408,991,460.86 | 100.14 | 5 |